Análisis Aarau vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51%
Win probability
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2005 |
YVE
4 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2005 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 0
YOB
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2005 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2005 |
CRV
1 - 2
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
YVE
84%
11%
4%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 2
STR
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |