Recopa de Europa 1/16

Global 2-4

Análisis Aarau vs Crvena Zvezda

Aarau Crvena Zvezda
77 ELO 85
9.8% Tilt 10.5%
722º Ranking ELO general 449º
15º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
42.7%
Aarau
23.9%
Empate
33.4%
Crvena Zvezda

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Crvena Zvezda
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Aarau
+7%
+18%
Crvena Zvezda

Progresión del ELO

Aarau
Crvena Zvezda
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 sep. 1985
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
39%
25%
35%
77 84 7 0
18 sep. 1985
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
71%
18%
12%
78 85 7 -1
14 sep. 1985
BAS
Basel
4 - 1
Aarau
FCA
47%
25%
29%
78 74 4 0
04 sep. 1985
FCA
Aarau
5 - 1
Luzern
FCL
68%
19%
14%
78 68 10 0
31 ago. 1985
FCW
FC Wettingen
1 - 6
Aarau
FCA
43%
26%
32%
77 70 7 +1

Partidos

Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 sep. 1985
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
71%
18%
12%
85 78 7 0
03 oct. 1984
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
71%
18%
11%
85 88 3 0
19 sep. 1984
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
3 - 2
Benfica
SLB
45%
25%
29%
85 88 3 0
28 sep. 1983
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
2 - 3
Hellas Verona
VER
79%
13%
7%
85 77 8 0
14 sep. 1983
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 0
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
37%
27%
36%
85 76 9 0