Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1988 |
LOK
4 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1988 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1988 |
FCA
1 - 1
LAU
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1988 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1988 |
LUG
2 - 2
GCZ
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1988 |
YOB
3 - 3
LUG
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1988 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCW
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1988 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 1988 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUG
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |