Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 sep. 1989 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1989 |
YOB
0 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 1989 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 1989 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 1989 |
LUG
4 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1989 |
SIO
3 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 1989 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 2
FCL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 1
STG
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |