Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1992 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 1992 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCA
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1992 |
FCA
3 - 2
STG
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 0
BUL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAU
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1992 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1992 |
CHI
1 - 0
LUG
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1992 |
GCZ
2 - 2
LUG
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
SIO
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |