Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1995 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1995 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 dic. 1994 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
STG
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1994 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1994 |
STG
1 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 nov. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 3
LAU
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 1
LUG
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 0
GCZ
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |