Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
ZUR
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 1994 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 may. 1994 |
FCA
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 may. 1994 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 may. 1994 |
FCA
4 - 3
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 1994 |
LUG
3 - 0
SIO
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 may. 1994 |
LAU
0 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1994 |
FCA
4 - 3
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |