Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1996 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 may. 1996 |
STG
3 - 4
FCA
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 jul. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 1996 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
STG
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |