Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1999 |
YVE
2 - 1
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1998 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 1
DEL
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 3
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 dic. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 3
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1998 |
ZUR
4 - 1
LUG
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |