Copa Suiza Octavos

Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano

Aarau FC Lugano
69 ELO 73
7.7% Tilt 11.1%
732º Ranking ELO general 311º
15º Ranking ELO país 10º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
30.6%
Aarau
23.5%
Empate
46%
FC Lugano

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
Aarau
1.37
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.9%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

Progresión del ELO

65º67º69º71º73º75ºDec .15Mar .16Jun .16Sep .16
Aarau
FC Lugano
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 oct. 2016
CHI
Chiasso
3 - 1
Aarau
FCA
20%
25%
55%
69 57 12 0
16 oct. 2016
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
53%
23%
25%
68 64 4 +1
02 oct. 2016
SER
Servette
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
29%
26%
45%
68 59 9 0
25 sep. 2016
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
68 76 8 0
21 sep. 2016
WOH
Wohlen
1 - 4
Aarau
FCA
18%
24%
58%
67 53 14 +1

Partidos

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 oct. 2016
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Basel
BAS
22%
23%
55%
74 84 10 0
16 oct. 2016
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
33%
25%
42%
74 81 7 0
06 oct. 2016
INT
Inter
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
68%
20%
13%
74 86 12 0
02 oct. 2016
LAU
Lausanne Sports
4 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
37%
26%
37%
75 72 3 -1
25 sep. 2016
THU
Thun
2 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
45%
25%
31%
75 76 1 0