Copa Suiza 1/16

Análisis Aarau vs Luzern

Aarau Luzern
68 ELO 83
7.8% Tilt 24.5%
743º Ranking ELO general 292º
15º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
17.2%
Aarau
20.8%
Empate
62%
Luzern

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
Aarau
0.97
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
62%
Win probability
Luzern
2.04
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Aarau
Luzern
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 sep. 2024
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
61%
20%
19%
67 78 11 0
31 ago. 2024
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
49%
24%
27%
67 65 2 0
24 ago. 2024
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Etoile Carouge
ETO
46%
24%
30%
67 67 0 0
17 ago. 2024
SUH
Suhr
0 - 4
Aarau
FCA
2%
6%
91%
66 9 57 +1
09 ago. 2024
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
53%
23%
24%
66 72 6 0

Partidos

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 sep. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
21%
22%
58%
84 70 14 0
01 sep. 2024
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
48%
24%
29%
84 85 1 0
24 ago. 2024
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
47%
25%
28%
83 79 4 +1
17 ago. 2024
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 4
Luzern
FCL
4%
12%
85%
83 42 41 0
11 ago. 2024
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 3
Luzern
FCL
48%
24%
28%
83 85 2 0