Análisis Aarau vs Servette
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1986 |
FCA
3 - 1
VEV
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
| 10 may. 1986 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 may. 1986 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCW
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1986 |
FCG
4 - 1
SER
17%
25%
58%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1986 |
SER
3 - 0
GCZ
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 may. 1986 |
SER
3 - 1
LAC
74%
16%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1986 |
STG
4 - 1
SER
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 1986 |
SER
0 - 2
SIO
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |