Análisis Aarau vs St. Gallen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2004 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 2
GCZ
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCA
62%
20%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2004 |
THU
2 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
STG
3 - 1
NEX
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 2
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |