Análisis Aarau vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2002 |
WIN
2 - 2
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2002 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2002 |
THU
1 - 1
DEL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2002 |
NEX
4 - 0
THU
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2002 |
THU
4 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 2
THU
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |