Análisis Aarau vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2006 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2006 |
THU
0 - 1
GCZ
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
THU
2 - 1
SCH
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
YVE
0 - 1
THU
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |