Liga Suiza Jor. 29

Análisis Aarau vs Thun

Aarau Thun
79 ELO 77
-0.3% Tilt -5.2%
1277º Ranking ELO general 814º
13º Ranking ELO país 11º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
48.7%
Aarau
26%
Empate
25.3%
Thun

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Thun
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Aarau
+13%
+16%
Thun

Progresión del ELO

Aarau
Thun
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 mar. 2008
SIO
Sion
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
52%
25%
23%
79 81 2 0
22 mar. 2008
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Sion
SIO
41%
27%
32%
78 81 3 +1
19 mar. 2008
THU
Thun
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
48%
27%
25%
78 79 1 0
16 mar. 2008
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
77 86 9 +1
09 mar. 2008
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
55%
24%
21%
77 79 2 0

Partidos

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 mar. 2008
THU
Thun
0 - 4
Young Boys
YOB
20%
24%
56%
78 88 10 0
22 mar. 2008
YOB
Young Boys
4 - 2
Thun
THU
75%
16%
10%
79 88 9 -1
19 mar. 2008
THU
Thun
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
48%
27%
25%
79 78 1 0
15 mar. 2008
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 2
Thun
THU
52%
25%
23%
78 78 0 +1
08 mar. 2008
GCZ
Grasshopper
4 - 0
Thun
THU
58%
23%
19%
79 83 4 -1