Análisis Aarau vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 4
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
STG
4 - 0
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2013 |
THU
0 - 1
GNK
24%
22%
53%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
YOB
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2013 |
THU
0 - 0
GCZ
38%
25%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 2
THU
23%
27%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2013 |
RAP
2 - 1
THU
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |