Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
31%
24%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
FCA
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2016 |
FCA
0 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2016 |
WIL
5 - 1
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2016 |
NEX
4 - 1
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 2
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |