Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2017 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 2017 |
CHI
5 - 1
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 3
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 1
WIL
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 2
FCV
10%
15%
76%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2017 |
ZUR
2 - 2
WIN
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 1
NEX
20%
24%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |