Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
69.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2017 |
GCZ
3 - 3
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
FCA
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 0
FCA
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 sep. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 0
RAP
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 1
RAP
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2017 |
WOH
3 - 2
WIN
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 1
NEX
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIN
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |