Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 1
SCH
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2018 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 sep. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
15%
18%
68%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 1
LAU
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2018 |
FCV
0 - 1
WIN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 2
WIN
36%
23%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |