Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 jul. 2020 |
KRI
4 - 1
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2020 |
FCA
5 - 4
LAU
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 jun. 2020 |
WIN
5 - 2
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 jun. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 3
FCA
18%
22%
59%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 2020 |
FCA
4 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jul. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 4
FCV
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2020 |
STA
2 - 2
WIN
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 jun. 2020 |
WIN
5 - 2
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 jun. 2020 |
WIL
3 - 1
WIN
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 jun. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 1
GCZ
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |