Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 4
FCA
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 2
YVE
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 4
SCH
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 1
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIN
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
YVE
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |