Análisis Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.29
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 1939 |
HAR
0 - 1
FCN
21%
21%
58%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1939 |
FCN
2 - 1
SVS
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 1938 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCN
81%
11%
8%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 1938 |
FCN
3 - 1
VIE
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 1938 |
VOG
2 - 4
FCN
19%
21%
60%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 1939 |
F95
8 - 1
TEN
30%
22%
47%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1939 |
F95
4 - 0
FSV
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +3 |
| 09 oct. 1938 |
FSV
3 - 1
F95
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1938 |
S04
2 - 1
F95
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 1937 |
DRE
2 - 5
F95
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |