Análisis Nürnberg vs Fortuna Köln
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ago. 1999 |
OFC
1 - 3
FCN
16%
25%
60%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1999 |
FCN
3 - 0
WAL
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 ago. 1999 |
F95
2 - 0
FCN
25%
25%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 may. 1999 |
FCN
1 - 2
SCF
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 may. 1999 |
ROS
1 - 1
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ago. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 1
M05
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 ago. 1999 |
WER
3 - 1
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 jun. 1999 |
GUT
2 - 1
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1999 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |