Análisis Nürnberg vs VfB Lübeck
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 1
SGF
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
ERZ
3 - 3
FCN
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
REI
0 - 2
FCN
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2003 |
LUB
3 - 5
AAA
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2003 |
FCU
1 - 2
LUB
50%
24%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
LUB
2 - 2
EIN
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
ERH
0 - 2
LUB
13%
20%
68%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2003 |
SSV
0 - 4
LUB
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |