Oberliga Jor. 21

Análisis Passau vs Bayreuth SpVgg

Passau Bayreuth SpVgg
30 ELO 36
11.4% Tilt 3.5%
31533º Ranking ELO general 2680º
1073º Ranking ELO país 110º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
42.7%
Passau
24.9%
Empate
32.5%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
Passau
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.5%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO18.622.626.630.634.638.542.546.550.554.558.562.466.470.474.478.4-33.3%-27.9%-22.4%-17%-11.5%-6%-0.6%4.9%10.3%15.8%21.2%26.7%32.1%37.6%43%48.5%54%59.4%64.9%70.3%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

22º25º28º31º34º37º40ºJan .04Apr .04Jul .04Oct .04
Passau
Bayreuth SpVgg
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Passau
Passau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 nov. 2004
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 3
Passau
FCP
57%
23%
20%
29 31 2 0
30 oct. 2004
WOL
Wolfratshausen
0 - 0
Passau
FCP
21%
23%
56%
30 18 12 -1
23 oct. 2004
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 2
Passau
FCP
34%
26%
39%
30 25 5 0
16 oct. 2004
FCP
Passau
1 - 1
Weiden
WEI
69%
18%
13%
30 23 7 0
09 oct. 2004
MEM
Memmingen
0 - 2
Passau
FCP
63%
22%
15%
29 37 8 +1

Partidos

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 nov. 2004
MEM
Memmingen
1 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
53%
24%
23%
34 37 3 0
30 oct. 2004
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
Ismaning
ISM
41%
25%
35%
34 38 4 0
24 oct. 2004
NUR
Nürnberg II
2 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
77%
15%
8%
32 44 12 +2
16 oct. 2004
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 0
SC 04 Schwabach
SCS
67%
20%
13%
31 28 3 +1
09 oct. 2004
GRO
Grossbardorf
5 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
46%
23%
31%
33 30 3 -2