Recopa de Europa 1/16

Global 3-2

Análisis Porto vs Köln

Porto Köln
85 ELO 87
17.3% Tilt 0.6%
110º Ranking ELO general 97º
Ranking ELO país 16º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
50.5%
Porto
22.2%
Empate
27.3%
Köln

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Porto
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Köln
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Porto
Köln
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 sep. 1977
FCP
Porto
6 - 1
Feirense
FEI
90%
8%
3%
85 54 31 0
14 sep. 1977
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
Porto
FCP
76%
15%
10%
85 87 2 0
10 sep. 1977
EST
Estoril
2 - 0
Porto
FCP
23%
28%
49%
85 66 19 0
04 sep. 1977
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
74%
16%
10%
85 78 7 0
29 may. 1977
FCP
Porto
4 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
76%
14%
9%
85 75 10 0

Partidos

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 sep. 1977
KOL
Köln
4 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
78%
13%
9%
87 77 10 0
17 sep. 1977
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
48%
23%
29%
87 86 1 0
14 sep. 1977
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
Porto
FCP
76%
15%
10%
87 85 2 0
10 sep. 1977
KOL
Köln
2 - 4
Schalke 04
S04
67%
18%
15%
88 86 2 -1
03 sep. 1977
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
23%
23%
54%
88 76 12 0