Análisis Porto vs Arouca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2016 |
GFC
0 - 3
FCP
13%
21%
67%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 ene. 2016 |
FEI
2 - 0
FCP
11%
18%
71%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
FCP
15%
22%
64%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
PAÇ
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
SCP
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
PAÇ
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |