Análisis Porto vs Os Belenenses
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
80.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 1978 |
AEK
6 - 1
FCP
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1978 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
21%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1978 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1978 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCB
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1978 |
ACV
1 - 3
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1978 |
BEL
4 - 0
BMA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 2
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |