Análisis Porto vs Benfica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.37
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
FCB
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1938 |
SCP
6 - 1
FCP
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 4
FCP
19%
19%
62%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1938 |
FCP
5 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 0
APO
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |