Análisis Porto vs Carcavelinhos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
94.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.73
Goles esperados
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.8%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
4%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
7%
6-0
7%
7-1
3.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.9%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
3.5%
Empate
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.5%
1.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 3
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1940 |
APO
0 - 2
FCP
8%
13%
79%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
94%
4%
2%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
93%
5%
2%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1940 |
APO
1 - 3
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 4
ACA
46%
22%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |