Análisis Porto vs Lusitano VRSA
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.1
Goles esperados
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.4%
Empate
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1949 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
FCP
1 - 0
OEL
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1949 |
VST
1 - 0
FCP
35%
22%
44%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1949 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
44%
21%
35%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
FCP
2 - 1
EST
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 2
VST
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
LUS
96%
3%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1949 |
OLH
1 - 0
LUS
84%
10%
7%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 1949 |
VIT
5 - 0
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |