Análisis Porto vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.2%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 1979 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
FCP
16%
27%
57%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1979 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1979 |
FCP
1 - 0
UDL
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 1979 |
VAR
3 - 0
RIO
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1979 |
VST
4 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
SLB
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 nov. 1979 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 1979 |
VAR
3 - 2
SPB
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |