Análisis Porto vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.79
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 1980 |
BOA
0 - 1
FCP
27%
29%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1980 |
FCP
1 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1980 |
FCP
2 - 1
ESP
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1980 |
VST
1 - 0
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACA
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1980 |
AMO
1 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 2
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 ago. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 jun. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |