Análisis Porto vs Vitória Guimarães
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 1978 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1978 |
FCP
0 - 0
BOA
81%
12%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 1
AEK
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCB
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1978 |
ACV
0 - 1
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 1
BMA
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1978 |
FAM
2 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |