Análisis Twente vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 0
TWE
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 0
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1970 |
ADO
1 - 1
TWE
51%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1970 |
TWE
1 - 0
DZG
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1970 |
DZG
2 - 2
TWE
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1971 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1970 |
VOL
3 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 1970 |
EXC
0 - 0
DWS
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1970 |
ADO
0 - 0
EXC
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |