Análisis Twente vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.21
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.5%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1972 |
GRO
0 - 1
TWE
29%
31%
41%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 0
ADO
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
78%
14%
7%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 0
VOL
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |