Análisis Twente vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.12
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.3%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 1973 |
ADO
0 - 4
TWE
45%
28%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1973 |
TWE
1 - 2
MON
46%
25%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1973 |
PSV
0 - 1
TWE
46%
28%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1973 |
TWE
3 - 1
UTR
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1973 |
TEL
1 - 3
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 abr. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
5%
11%
84%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |