Análisis Twente vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 1985 |
TWE
3 - 1
MVV
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 1
TWE
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 may. 1985 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1985 |
TWE
3 - 1
HFC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 4
TWE
89%
8%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ago. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1985 |
HFC
5 - 5
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 may. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 may. 1985 |
VOL
1 - 3
EXC
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 may. 1985 |
EXC
4 - 0
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |