Análisis Twente vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 0
TWE
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
BVO
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2015 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 4
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 ene. 2015 |
FCD
1 - 0
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |