Análisis Twente vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.38
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2012 |
TWE
4 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
TWE
5 - 0
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 1
ELP
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 2
PSV
47%
25%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
FEY
3 - 2
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
19%
23%
57%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
RKC
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |