Análisis Twente vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
64%
19%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 3
HEL
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 0
ADO
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
ZWO
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 0
TWE
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 2
HER
21%
23%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
HER
5 - 1
RJC
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |