Análisis Twente vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 0
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1982 |
GAE
3 - 3
TWE
35%
26%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1982 |
HEL
0 - 0
TWE
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1982 |
PSV
8 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |