Análisis Twente vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1988 |
TWE
1 - 0
VVV
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1988 |
BOS
1 - 1
TWE
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1988 |
SPA
1 - 5
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1988 |
TWE
1 - 0
RJC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 1988 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1988 |
ZWO
3 - 2
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 2
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 1
VVV
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1988 |
VOL
1 - 5
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 1988 |
WIL
3 - 1
ADO
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |