Análisis Twente vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
TWE
4 - 1
SCH
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 0
TWE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 ago. 2004 |
TWE
8 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 1
RJC
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2004 |
BOS
1 - 2
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 4
FEY
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 0
WIL
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
WIL
5 - 0
MEE
92%
7%
2%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | -1 |