Análisis Utrecht vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 2
UTR
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
FEY
2 - 0
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1986 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
UTR
2 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
91%
6%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 1986 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1986 |
GAE
4 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 1986 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |