Análisis Utrecht vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.71
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 1984 |
BOS
3 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1984 |
FCD
0 - 1
UTR
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1984 |
UTR
1 - 7
AZA
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1984 |
UTR
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1984 |
EXC
7 - 4
UTR
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 0
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1984 |
SPA
3 - 1
WIL
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 2
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 feb. 1984 |
RJC
1 - 0
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |