Análisis Utrecht vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
UTR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2006 |
UTR
3 - 1
RKC
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
UTR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2006 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
17%
22%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |