Análisis Fénix vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
24.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.49
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
FEN
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 2
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
MWA
2 - 1
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
FEN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2012 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
REN
2 - 3
NAC
20%
26%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
NAC
6 - 1
CSC
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
VAS
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
BVS
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |